Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 97% |
| O/U 39.5 | 96% |
| O/U 45.5 | 92% |
| O/U 47.5 | 92% |
| O/U 49.5 | 89% |
| O/U 51.5 | 82% |
| Georgia O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 53.5 | 72% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia | 56% |
| Auburn O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 43.5 | 51% |
| Georgia O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| O/U 67.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -25.5 | 37% |
| O/U 69.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| O/U 73.5 | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| O/U 75.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -18.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
| Spread -23.5 | 1% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| Spread -30.5 | 1% |
| Spread -33.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Auburn vs. Georgia — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Georgia, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game. This market will resolve to "Georg…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $532K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Auburn vs. Georgia" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →