Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Spread -1.5 | 88% |
| Spread -7.5 | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 84% |
| Spread -3.5 | 83% |
| Spread -10.5 | 82% |
| O/U 30.5 | 82% |
| Spread -6.5 | 81% |
| Spread -9.5 | 80% |
| O/U 28.5 | 79% |
| Spread -11.5 | 74% |
| Spread -13.5 | 71% |
| O/U 32.5 | 71% |
| Spread -14.5 | 70% |
| O/U 34.5 | 70% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Spread -8.5 | 68% |
| Boise State O/U 27.5 | 66% |
| Spread -15.5 | 65% |
| O/U 36.5 | 63% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| Boise State O/U 30.5 | 55% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| O/U 40.5 | 53% |
| O/U 44.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Western Michigan O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Boise State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boise State vs. Western Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| O/U 42.5 | 44% |
| Spread -18.5 | 40% |
| Spread -22.5 | 39% |
| Spread -25.5 | 38% |
| Spread -28.5 | 34% |
| O/U 52.5 | 33% |
| O/U 56.5 | 32% |
| O/U 46.5 | 31% |
| O/U 58.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 30% |
| O/U 48.5 | 29% |
| Spread -24.5 | 27% |
| Western Michigan O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| O/U 50.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| Western Michigan O/U 23.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| O/U 60.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 8% |
| O/U 66.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: boise state vs. western michigan 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Boise State and Western Michigan, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State wi…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $395K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Boise State vs. Western Michigan über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Deutschland, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Boise State vs. Western Michigan" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
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