Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| O/U 45.5 | 83% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe | 82% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| 1H Moneyline | 75% |
| Spread -3.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 73% |
| O/U 49.5 | 72% |
| Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -22.5 | 58% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 21.5 | 54% |
| O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| O/U 69.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 51% |
| O/U 77.5 | 51% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana-Monroe Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 35.5 | 48% |
| O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -28.5 | 42% |
| O/U 61.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Louisiana-Monroe O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 41.5 | 30% |
| Spread -21.5 | 29% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| Spread -24.5 | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 19% |
| O/U 73.5 | 18% |
| Spread -27.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -30.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 9% |
Markt-Kontext
Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 82% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $132K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Florida Atlantic vs. Louisiana-Monroe" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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