Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 90% |
| O/U 42.5 | 89% |
| O/U 46.5 | 82% |
| O/U 44.5 | 81% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Spread -3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 48.5 | 73% |
| Spread -4.5 | 71% |
| Wake Forest O/U 16.5 | 70% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 50.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 52.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Wake Forest O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 59% |
| Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Wake Forest O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Louisville O/U 35.5 | 47% |
| O/U 58.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 45% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -15.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 42% |
| O/U 60.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -18.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| Spread -19.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Louisville O/U 41.5 | 30% |
| O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville | 19% |
| Spread -28.5 | 19% |
| Spread -22.5 | 17% |
| Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -25.5 | 14% |
| O/U 70.5 | 14% |
| O/U 74.5 | 14% |
| Spread -26.5 | 13% |
| O/U 72.5 | 13% |
| Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| Spread -29.5 | 10% |
| O/U 76.5 | 9% |
| O/U 78.5 | 9% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 90% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Wake Forest vs. Louisville. In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and Louisville, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. This market w…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $98K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Wake Forest vs. Louisville auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Wake Forest vs. Louisville" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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