Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| LSU O/U 20.5 | 80% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 76% |
| LSU 1H O/U 11.5 | 74% |
| LSU vs. Auburn | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 72% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 72% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| 1H Moneyline | 68% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| O/U 47.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 49.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 51.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU vs. Auburn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| LSU O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| LSU 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| O/U 53.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| O/U 55.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 36% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 35% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 17% |
| O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 71.5 | 13% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 73.5 | 9% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: lsu vs. auburn 85%. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Auburn, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolv…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $221K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: LSU vs. Auburn über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Deutschland, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: LSU vs. Auburn" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →