Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 92% |
| O/U 212.5 | 90% |
| O/U 214.5 | 87% |
| O/U 216.5 | 85% |
| O/U 218.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 81% |
| O/U 220.5 | 78% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| O/U 222.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 72% |
| Spread -6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 224.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 70% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 226.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 65% |
| O/U 228.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 60% |
| Spread -10.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 58% |
| O/U 230.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 57% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 57% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 57% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| O/U 232.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 54% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| O/U 238.5 | 41% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| O/U 240.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 36% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| O/U 242.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 33% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 244.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| Spread -22.5 | 23% |
| O/U 248.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| O/U 250.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 19% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Bucks vs. 76ers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 16% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $126K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Bucks vs. 76ers auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Bucks vs. 76ers" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
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