Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 96% |
| O/U 215.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 94% |
| O/U 219.5 | 93% |
| O/U 221.5 | 91% |
| O/U 223.5 | 88% |
| O/U 225.5 | 85% |
| Bulls O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| O/U 227.5 | 83% |
| O/U 229.5 | 80% |
| Bulls O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| O/U 230.5 | 78% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 231.5 | 76% |
| Bulls O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| O/U 233.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 69% |
| Bulls O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| O/U 235.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| O/U 236.5 | 66% |
| O/U 237.5 | 64% |
| Bulls O/U 118.5 | 63% |
| O/U 238.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 62% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 62% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| O/U 239.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 59% |
| Bulls O/U 120.5 | 57% |
| O/U 241.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 56% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| O/U 242.5 | 54% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| O/U 243.5 | 52% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 244.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | 48% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| O/U 246.5 | 45% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 44% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Bulls O/U 124.5 | 44% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Wizards O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 249.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Bulls O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| O/U 252.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Bulls O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 32% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.5 | 32% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 66.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Bulls O/U 130.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| O/U 255.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Wizards O/U 130.5 | 27% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Bulls O/U 132.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 132.5 | 19% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 18% |
| Spread -12.5 | 17% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 17% |
| Bulls O/U 134.5 | 17% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 139.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 141.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Wizards vs. Bulls. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 48% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $226K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Wizards vs. Bulls auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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