Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 96% |
| O/U 29.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 96% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 30.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| O/U 32.5 | 94% |
| Rams O/U 13.5 | 93% |
| Rams O/U 16.5 | 93% |
| Rams O/U 19.5 | 93% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| Rams O/U 20.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 88% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| Rams O/U 23.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| Spread -1.5 | 85% |
| O/U 38.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 84% |
| Spread -2.5 | 83% |
| O/U 40.5 | 82% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 80% |
| O/U 41.5 | 78% |
| O/U 42.5 | 78% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Spread -3.5 | 77% |
| Rams O/U 26.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 74% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| Rams O/U 12.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| O/U 44.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| Rams O/U 27.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Rams O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 46.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Rams 1H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| Spread -7.5 | 63% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| O/U 47.5 | 62% |
| Rams 1H O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Rams 1H O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| O/U 48.5 | 60% |
| Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Rams 1H O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 58% |
| O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Rams O/U 30.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 50.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Rams 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rams 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals vs. Rams: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Rams 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| O/U 52.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Safety? | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 44% |
| Spread -17.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| Rams 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 54.5 | 42% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 42% |
| Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| Rams O/U 34.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 55.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 56.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 34% |
| Rams 1H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Spread -19.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| Rams 1H O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Spread -21.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 29% |
| O/U 59.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -19.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 26% |
| O/U 60.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 23% |
| Spread -21.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| O/U 62.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| O/U 64.5 | 18% |
| O/U 65.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | 13% |
| O/U 67.5 | 13% |
| Spread -1.5 | 13% |
| Spread -2.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 9% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 96% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Cardinals vs. Rams. In the upcoming NFL football game between Cardinals and Rams, scheduled for October 18 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cardinals" if Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Ram…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $174K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Cardinals vs. Rams auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Cardinals vs. Rams" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
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