Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| O/U 32.5 | 94% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 88% |
| O/U 37.5 | 86% |
| O/U 38.5 | 85% |
| O/U 40.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 74% |
| O/U 44.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 47.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 64% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 48.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 49.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 50.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 53.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Ravens vs. Cowboys — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 96%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET: If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If the game is postponed,…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $134K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Ravens vs. Cowboys auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ravens vs. Cowboys" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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