Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 96% |
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 87% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 82% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 38.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| O/U 42.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 65% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 61% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 55% |
| O/U 46.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| Bengals vs. Ravens | 53% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 21+ | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 49% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 46% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 41% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 52.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 24% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 58.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 20% |
| Bengals vs. Ravens: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 20% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 15% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 64.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Safety? | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Bengals vs. Ravens — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 96%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Ravens, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bengals" if Bengals win the game. This market will resolve to "Ravens"…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $227K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Bengals vs. Ravens auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Bengals vs. Ravens" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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