Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 32.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 93% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 93% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 92% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 88% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 38.5 | 86% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 86% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| O/U 40.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 78% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| O/U 46.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 68% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 67% |
| O/U 47.5 | 66% |
| O/U 48.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 54% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 53% |
| O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 21+ | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 54.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Safety? | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 35% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 62.5 | 26% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 63.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Cowboys vs. Packers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 19% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 97% Chance für prognose: cowboys vs. packers. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market wil…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $218K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Cowboys vs. Packers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Polymarket Deutschland, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Cowboys vs. Packers" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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