Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 20.5 | 99% |
| O/U 45.5 | 94% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 91% |
| O/U 47.5 | 85% |
| O/U 49.5 | 83% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 23.5 | 81% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 26.5 | 65% |
| O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kennesaw State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| Kennesaw State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| O/U 59.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 38% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 71.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 21% |
| Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Kennesaw State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State. In the upcoming college football game between Jacksonville State and Kennesaw State, scheduled for October 7 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jacksonville State" if Jacksonville State win th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $512K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutschland, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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