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Prognose: Wizards vs. Hornets

So preist der Markt „Prognose: Wizards vs. Hornets" gerade ein — Live-Quoten, Anbieter-Vergleich, Quellen aus dem Polymarket-Orderbuch.

Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5 100% Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 5.5 99% Volumen: $3.2M Liquidität: $1.6M Schließt: 26 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Wizards vs. Hornets

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Live-Quoten ansehen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Live-Quoten ansehen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Live-Quoten ansehen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Live-Quoten ansehen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Live-Quoten ansehen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 5.599%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 7.582%
Hornets O/U 102.581%
1H O/U 100.580%
O/U 207.575%
1H O/U 102.575%
Hornets O/U 104.573%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.572%
O/U 209.571%
1H Spread -0.571%
Wizards O/U 101.570%
Hornets O/U 106.570%
O/U 211.567%
1H O/U 104.567%
O/U 213.565%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.564%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 9.563%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.563%
2Q O/U 54.563%
Wizards O/U 103.563%
Spread -1.560%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.560%
1H O/U 106.560%
Hornets O/U 108.560%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.559%
O/U 215.557%
Spread -2.556%
Wizards O/U 105.556%
Hornets O/U 110.556%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 1.555%
Hornets 1H O/U 55.555%
O/U 217.554%
2Q O/U 56.554%
Spread -3.553%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 3.553%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.552%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 11.552%
1H O/U 108.552%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.551%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.551%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.551%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.551%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.551%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 1.551%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.551%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 13.551%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 21.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 20.550%
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 10.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 10.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 10.550%
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 6.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 10.550%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.550%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.550%
Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.550%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.550%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.550%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.550%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 9.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 34.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.550%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.550%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.550%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.550%
Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 4.550%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 9.550%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.550%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.550%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 39.550%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 9.550%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 19.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 9.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 19.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 24.550%
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 4.550%
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 9.550%
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 14.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 4.550%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 9.550%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.550%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 29.550%
Sion James: Points O/U 4.550%
Sion James: Points O/U 9.550%
Sion James: Points O/U 14.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 4.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 9.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 14.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 19.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 29.550%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 19.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 15.550%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 1.550%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 5.550%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 3.550%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 5.550%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 9.550%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 1.550%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.550%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 7.550%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 1.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 3.550%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 1.550%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.550%
Sion James: Assists O/U 1.550%
Sion James: Assists O/U 3.550%
Sion James: Assists O/U 5.550%
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 1.550%
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 3.550%
Anthony Davis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.550%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 7.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Assists O/U 5.550%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 7.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Tre Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 0.550%
Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 1.550%
Anthony Davis: Steals O/U 2.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 0.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 1.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 2.550%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 0.550%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 1.550%
Brandon Miller: Steals O/U 2.550%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 0.550%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 1.550%
Grayson Allen: Steals O/U 2.550%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.550%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Brandon Miller: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Brandon Miller: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Moussa Diabaté: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Grayson Allen: Points O/U 34.550%
Justin Champagnie: Points O/U 19.550%
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Justin Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 15.550%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 11.550%
Sion James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Naz Reid: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 3.550%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 34.550%
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Grayson Allen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
1H O/U 117.550%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 29.550%
1H Spread -18.550%
1H Spread -16.550%
1H Spread -14.550%
1H Spread -12.550%
1H Spread -10.550%
1H Spread -8.550%
1H Spread -6.550%
1H Spread -4.550%
1H Spread -2.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -7.550%
1H Spread -9.550%
1H Spread -11.550%
1H Spread -13.550%
1H Spread -15.550%
1H Spread -17.550%
1H O/U 98.550%
1Q Spread -6.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q O/U 47.550%
1Q O/U 49.550%
1Q O/U 51.550%
1Q O/U 53.550%
1Q O/U 55.550%
1Q O/U 57.550%
1Q O/U 59.550%
1Q O/U 61.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q O/U 49.550%
3Q O/U 51.550%
3Q O/U 53.550%
3Q O/U 55.550%
3Q O/U 57.550%
3Q O/U 59.550%
3Q O/U 61.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q O/U 51.550%
4Q O/U 53.550%
4Q O/U 55.550%
Hornets 2H O/U 53.550%
Hornets 2H O/U 55.550%
Hornets 2H O/U 57.550%
Hornets 2H O/U 59.550%
Hornets 2H O/U 61.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 52.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 54.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 56.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 58.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 60.550%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.550%
Sion James: Points O/U 19.550%
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 24.550%
Sion James: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 4.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 9.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Points O/U 14.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Dennis Schröder: Steals O/U 0.550%
Dennis Schröder: Steals O/U 1.550%
Dennis Schröder: Steals O/U 2.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Ryan Kalkbrenner: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 39.550%
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 10.550%
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 3.550%
Brandon Miller: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Spread -4.549%
O/U 219.549%
Wizards O/U 107.549%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.548%
Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 5.548%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 7.547%
Spread -5.546%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.546%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.546%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.545%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.545%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 14.545%
1H Spread -3.545%
Hornets O/U 112.545%
1H O/U 110.544%
2Q O/U 58.544%
Spread -6.543%
O/U 221.543%
4Q Spread -1.543%
Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 7.542%
Wizards O/U 109.542%
Hornets 1H O/U 57.542%
2Q Spread -2.541%
2Q Spread -1.541%
Spread -7.539%
3Q Spread -1.539%
Hornets O/U 114.539%
Trae Young: Points O/U 19.538%
Wizards vs. Hornets37%
Race to 2037%
Race to 3037%
O/U 223.537%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.537%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.537%
1H O/U 112.537%
Hornets 1H O/U 59.537%
Wizards 1H O/U 54.537%
O/U 224.536%
1H Moneyline36%
2Q O/U 60.535%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -9.533%
O/U 225.533%
Wizards O/U 111.533%
Spread -2.532%
1H Spread -1.532%
2Q Spread -4.532%
Hornets O/U 116.532%
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 9.531%
2Q Spread -3.531%
Hornets O/U 118.531%
Spread -3.530%
1H O/U 114.530%
O/U 227.529%
1Q Spread -1.529%
Spread -11.528%
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.528%
2Q O/U 62.528%
Wizards O/U 113.528%
Wizards 1H O/U 56.527%
Spread -4.526%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.526%
Spread -12.525%
Spread -13.525%
O/U 229.525%
Hornets 1H O/U 61.525%
Hornets O/U 120.525%
1H O/U 116.524%
Wizards O/U 115.524%
Spread -6.523%
O/U 230.523%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.522%
O/U 231.521%
Wizards 1H O/U 58.521%
Spread -15.520%
O/U 232.520%
Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 14.520%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.519%
O/U 233.518%
Spread -8.518%
Trae Young: Points O/U 24.518%
1H O/U 118.518%
Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.518%
Spread -17.517%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.517%
Grayson Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.517%
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.517%
Wizards O/U 117.517%
Hornets 1H O/U 63.516%
Hornets O/U 122.516%
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 14.515%
O/U 235.514%
Spread -9.514%
Spread -10.514%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 19.514%
Wizards 1H O/U 60.514%
Trae Young: Points O/U 29.513%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.513%
1H O/U 120.513%
Wizards 1H O/U 62.513%
Wizards O/U 119.513%
O/U 237.512%
O/U 238.512%
Spread -19.512%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.512%
Spread -12.511%
Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 24.511%
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 5.511%
Hornets O/U 124.511%
Spread -21.510%
1H O/U 122.510%
Wizards O/U 121.510%
O/U 240.59%
Spread -14.59%
Spread -23.58%
O/U 243.57%
1H O/U 124.57%
Hornets O/U 126.57%
Spread -16.56%
Spread -18.56%
O/U 246.55%
O/U 249.55%
Spread -25.55%
Spread -29.55%
Spread -20.55%
1H O/U 126.55%
Spread -27.53%
Spread -22.53%
1H O/U 128.53%
1H O/U 130.53%
Race to 102%
Spread -24.52%
Spread -26.52%
O/U 263.52%
Team to Score First1%

Markt-Kontext

Wizards vs. Hornets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 41% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-26T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5 mit 100% bei "Prognose: Wizards vs. Hornets".

Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Andere 0%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $3.2M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.

Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.

Häufige Fragen

Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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