Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 89% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 86% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 71% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Ravens vs. Browns | 64% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 63% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| O/U 42.5 | 43% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 40% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 40% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 39% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 38% |
| O/U 44.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 36% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Ravens vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| O/U 48.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 50.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 94% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Ravens vs. Browns. In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Browns, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Browns" if…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $100K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Ravens vs. Browns auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Polymarket Deutschland. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ravens vs. Browns" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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