Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Quoten ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 99% |
| O/U 24.5 | 98% |
| O/U 26.5 | 98% |
| O/U 28.5 | 95% |
| Jaguars O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 73% |
| Jaguars O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| Jaguars O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 38.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Jaguars O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars | 51% |
| O/U 40.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jaguars by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles vs. Jaguars: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaguars Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| O/U 42.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 43% |
| O/U 44.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Jaguars O/U 23.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| O/U 46.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Jaguars O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| O/U 48.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 50.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -9.5 | 15% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| O/U 52.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| O/U 54.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| O/U 56.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 58.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| O/U 60.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 3% |
| O/U 62.5 | 2% |
| O/U 64.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 1% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 12.5 | 1% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jaguars 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Der Prognosemarkt für „Prognose: Eagles vs. Jaguars" bewertet dieses Ergebnis derzeit mit 100% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit. In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $5.7M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Polymarket Deutschland, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Polymarket Deutschland ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Eagles vs. Jaguars" auf Polymarket Deutschland handeln
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